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What happened to the summer lull?

July 28th, 2009 by Karelia | No Comments | Filed in London Property Buyers Agents

Musings of a team of London Property Buyers Agents

Normally at this time of year, London Property Buyers Agents are bemoaning the summer lull and wishing everyone would hurry up and get back from holiday so that we can show our Clients the fabulous properties we have found for them.  Estate Agents have similar feelings, often suffering from lack of stock and struggling to get their buyers out of the sun and down to viewings.  Indeed, post heatwave, many estate agents had a slow week, while the London populace basked in the misplaced belief that the summer sun was here to stay after years of horrid weather.  But after a week of rain, everyone remembered why people go abroad for their holidays and got back on the property hunt.

Now the schools are out we would expect things to quieten down again, but estate agents are reporting an influx of new buyers.  Cluttons says it has had a 75% increase in buyer registrations compared with this time a year ago, and a 35% rise since May.   Rightmove have also said that a record number of people are continuing to download property details using their site and that summer traffic to date has amounted to 97% of Spring levels, compared with 79% last year - see here for more.

Having forecast a surge in property for sale late in the summer a few weeks ago, Cluttons seem to have back-tracked, describing the London property market as ‘deluged’ with buyers. 

Speaking to Estate Agent Today, Residential Partner James Hyman said, €œWe are seeing the complete opposite of a summer slowdown this year, as buyers start to panic that they have missed the chance to buy at the lowest prices. There is a huge pent-up demand, with buyers having waited for the last 18 months for the market to bottom.

€œOnly the lack of stock is currently preventing activity in the Central London market from returning to 2007 levels.€

He added that selling up to rent is no-longer popular with buyers, fearful of selling for less than they have to pay in a few months time. 

As for us, we’re sticking to our guns that this Winter should be a good time to pick up the odd bargain and as for a return to 2007, well I would suggest that the lack of supply is exactly what is bolstering the market.  If vendors suddenly swamp the market which I still think is unlikely this year, the market will return to the early nineties nightmare.  Everyone is talking the market up at the moment and that may continue until after the election. 

Re the long term outlook for the property market,  eventually the government debt will have to be paid back and interest rates will have to rise again and those who have been lulled into a false sense of security on low interest or interest only loans will get a sharp shock.  If the market is back to booming by that point, the government are unlikely to be as concerned about repossessions as they have been this time.

However in our view as London Property Buyers Agents, it’s always possible to bag a bargain, you just need to know where to look!

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It’s better to have a little of alot than alot of nothing, Mr Chancellor

April 29th, 2009 by Karelia | No Comments | Filed in London property finders, Property Market News

Rantings of a disgruntled London Property Finder

Today we spent the day out of the office at the IOD annual convention, in the Royal Albert hall.  Politicians never confirm until late in the day so Alistair Darling late entry as the first speaker was an interesting start to the day.

Given the audience, the Chancellor’s principle objectives were to defend the need for additional taxation particularly the new 50% tax  and also shouting about all the concessions and help the government is giving to smes.

Justifying the need for additional taxation, our hearts bled to hear Alistair Darling bemoaning the enormous hole in govenment revenue since the beginning of the recession due to amongst other things, the fall in stamp duties collected.Rather an interesting point to make to a hall full of business people, given that during these difficult times we need to make pragmatic decisions every day. For example, whether it is better to have a proportion of a little or all of nothing.

The Chancellor has missed a trick with stamp duty. Reducing the rate of stamp duty payable on properties below 500K would have helped boost transaction numbers which could in turn have boosted the revenues the government gains from property and boosted confidence in the property sector and the economy as a whole.  First-time buyers who we work with, tend to buy properties worth £400,000 and above.  Assuming they don’t spend over half a million, that means stumping up 3% stamp duty or using one of the avoidance schemes.  For the many who don’t have helpful accountants or London Property Finders like me, that means finding an additional £13,500 for a flat purchased for £450,000 - the price of a good 2 bed flat in a great area in London.  Typically we will charge just short of £7,000 for finding the fabulous flat - but then we would have introduced the buyer to property they would never have found on their own and negotiated a great deal which won’t fall through.  What does the Chancellor do?

 

Temporarily cutting stamp duty by half for property below £500K would make a real impact on the London property market and the Chancellor would gain a little of alot rather than a great deal of very little!This London Property Finder thinks it would have been a welcome if pragmatic course of action

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Confidence Improving Say RICS

November 11th, 2008 by Karelia | No Comments | Filed in House Prices, London House Prices, Property Market News

Musings of a London Property Finder

Property sales in London and the South East were at a record low in October according the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) but confidence has continued to improve and sales expectations are now at the highest level since March 2007. 

Those in a position to buy, particularly seasoned investors know that although the market overall has still got some way to drop, it is possible to pick up some superb bargains at the moment because most people can’t get the credit required to invest further.  Measures implemented by the government mean that the credit tightening experienced currently may change next year and as confidence grows, competition for the plethora of property bargains around at the moment will increase.

The RICS attribute depressing house prices to the increasing number of properties on estate agent’s books relative to the number of buyers in a position to move rather than a high number of distressed sales which characterised pricing in the early 90s.  While there is no need for most people to sell, many won’t do so, which is why this is a good time to buy, because there is no competition and since prices are still falling, an excellent deal, in excess of future price falls can be negotiated.  Buy now if you can is the advice of this London Property Finder

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