The government announced yesterday that the HS2 rail-link between Birmingham and London is to go ahead at a cost of £33billion. 65% of the responses to a consultation mentioned property, and at Manse & Garret Property Search we too are interested to see what the affect will be on property prices in London, Birmingham and along the route.

The link is expected to cut journey times between London and Birmingham by 30 minutes. Commuters who traverse this route will benefit from shorter journey times but it is the disruption during construction and the on-going noise created by trains travelling at speeds of up to 225mph in 2026 that is causing concern for property owners.  A Department of Transport Report from 2009 predicted that 21,300 households would experience an increase in rail noise, which in our experience is not what people look for when buying a house.

If your house is under the route then you can expect to receive a compulsory purchase order from the government, however not until 2015. The government has promised that property will be purchased based on the open-market value, “as if unaffected” by the scheme. Owners will also receive a home loss payment of 10% of the property’s value and reasonable costs will be paid. The problem with this is that many of the affected areas have already experienced a decline in house prices because the scheme has been years in the making and it is not clear if these home owners will be bought out at pre-HS2 prices.

Perhaps those in a worse position are those whose homes will not be considered for compulsory purchase, but who will be affected by the noise.  The government says that 3,100 properties will experience a “noticeable” increase in noise. Homeowners will be able to claim for any loss of value on their property resulting from noise, vibration or artificial lighting, but only once the railway has been open for a year. There is no amount of secondary glazing or sound proofing that can help you to enjoy your garden in peace and quiet and it is these homeowners who may have trouble selling their properties even at lower prices. The good and influential people of Primrose Hill were successful in making enough of a fuss so that the proposed route under Primrose Hill was changed so that they would not be negatively affected by vibration from the trains. Unfortunately the good people of Belsize Park have not been so lucky, Adelaide Road, Fellows Road and Eton Avenue are now likely to be affected instead.

What will happen to property prices in Birmingham and London? The value of property in Birmingham is likely to increase, as demand for property in Birmingham increases, becoming more attractive to those who may not have considered commuting this distance before now. As for London, will an extra rail-link into Euston boost property prices in this area? It’s unlikely that there will be that much of an increase; Birmingham is not as enticing a location as Paris and so proximity to this rail-link is unlikely to be at the top of many property buyers’ wish lists.

Technorati Tags: Birmingham, high speed 2, House Prices, House prices in London, HS2, London Buyer's Agents, Primrose Hill

Tags: Birmingham, high speed 2, House Prices, House prices in London, HS2, London Buyer's Agents, Primrose Hill

As London Buyer’s Agents we were interested to read a recent interview with The Telegraph (http://tgr.ph/n7WTGf) where Eric Pickles, the secretary of state for communities and local government has said that it would be a, “very big mistake”, to go ahead with any form of the Liberal Democrat’s proposed “mansion tax” on properties worth over £1 million.

A 1% annual tax applied to houses worth more than £1 million was first proposed at the Liberal Democrat party conference of 2009. The suggested threshold was later increased to properties worth more than £2 million, and this year the policy was refined further, with the Liberal Democrat Party suggesting that there should be a levy of 1% on capital gains tax from the sale of a property after the first £1million. .

This is an obvious attempt to make owners of high value property in the UK, whether British or foreign citizens, to pay up in order to share the burden caused by the national deficit, a questionable source of revenue when you stop to consider that an overhaul of the current council tax system has been estimated to cost upwards of £250million.

Although unlikely to temper overseas buyers’ zeal for good quality, high-end property in prime central London, a “mansion tax” is likely to dissuade middle-class British buyers from progressing up the property ladder. They are instead likely to decide to remain where they are, which would decrease the amount of property below £1million that comes onto the market, negatively affecting both ends of the market.

It is also possible for an astute property investor to buy property below the £1 million mark, and develop the property sufficiently after its official government valuation and still benefit from their investment, which makes the £1 million threshold seem rather arbitrary indeed.

There would be an uneven burden on home-owners in London and the South-East where the value of property continues to increase despite the recession. Eric Pickles rightly said last week that it would be, “imposing taxation on the back of changes in property value”. Following Eric Pickle’s interview it seems unlikely for now that any version of the “mansion tax” is likely to be passed under this coalition government, however much the Liberal Democrats want to replace the 50p tax rate for high earners with a tax for so-called “unearned wealth”. This would negatively affect people who are house-rich, but cash-poor, and whose life earnings have been channelled into their property, with a view of it being a retirement safety net, or a legacy for their children. Many people view their home as an investment, and I don’t believe that people should be taxed for choosing to invest their money well, and having their savings in bricks and mortar.

Technorati Tags: Buyers agents, government policy, Hackney house prices, House prices in London, London property, mansion tax, Property News, recession

Tags: Buyers agents, government policy, Hackney house prices, House prices in London, London property, mansion tax, Property News, recession

There have been mixed reports about the state of the property market this summer; and when you stop to consider the sheer number of different indices from which you can base your opinion; it’s somewhat unsurprising that reports range from the optimistic to the downright depressing.

Primelocation and Zoopla for example, track the asking price, not the sales price, which provides a current, if rather an inaccurate and negative view of the market. The Land Registry House Price Index (HPI) on the other hand is based on the sold price. Although perhaps not as up to date as other reports, the HPI does have the benefit of being the most accurate indicator of the state of the housing market.

So, how is property faring in the summer of 2010? According to the HPI, house prices in London at least are at the same levels they were in 2007.

In England and Wales there has been a significant growth in the volume of properties on the market that have sold at over £250,000; this growth more than doubles at the highest end of the market.  In London the number of properties sold for more than £2,000,000 in April 2010 has almost quadrupled compared to the same time last year.

As Manse & Garret predicted three years ago, the high end prime central London market is flourishing, in particular in Kensington & Chelsea, where the average price of a property has increased by more than £6,000 since May. There will continue to be demand for high end property in prime central London, where property tempts buyers not only from the capital and the UK, but from the rest of the world.  The UK property market, like the UK economy may still be on shaky ground, but for overseas investors prime central London real estate will always be a fairly safe haven for cash.